Suppose the probability of a false positive result on a mammogram is 7% and that radiologists' interpretations of mammograms are mutually independent in the sense that whether or not a radiologist finds a positive result on one mammogram does not influence whether or not a radiologist finds a positive result on another mammogram. Assume that a woman has one mammogram every year for ten years. (a) What is the probability (as a %) that she will have no false positive results during that time?
(b) What is the probability (as a %) that she will have at least one false positive result during that time?
(c) What is the probability (as a %) that she will have exactly two false positive results during that time?
(d) Suppose that the probability of a false negative result on a mammogram is 3%, and assume that the probability that a randomly chosen woman has breast cancer is 0.0003.
(i) If a woman has a positive test result one year, what is the probability (as a %) that she actually has breast cancer?
(ii) If a woman has a negative test result one year, what is the probability (as a %) that she actually has breast cancer?