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Mathematics, 24.05.2021 17:50 billy583887

Three prisoners, Kastur, Kevin, and Elijah, are in separate cells and sentenced to death. Zoethe governor has selected one of them at random to be pardoned. The warden, Andrew, knowswhich one is pardoned, but is not allowed to tell. Kastur begs Andrew to let her know theidentity of one of the two who are going to be executed. "If Kevin is going to be pardoned, give me Elijah’s name. If Elijah is going to be pardoned, give me Kevin’s name. And if I’mto be pardoned, secretly flip a coin to decide whether to name Kevin or Elijah."Andrew tells Kastur that Kevin is to be executed. Kastur is pleased because she believes thather probability of surviving has gone up from13to12, as it is now between her and Elijah. Kastur secretly tells Elijah the news, who reasons that Kastur’s chance of being pardoned isunchanged at13, but he is pleased, because his own chance of survival has gone up to23. Showthat Kastur is wrong about her new chances, but Elijah is right about his.

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