The password to Joe’s stolen phone consists of 4 digits. The person who stole the phone doesn’t know the password, and the phone is currently locked. The bad guy knows he only gets three tries before the phone will lock him out for an hour. What is the probability that the bad guy will guess the correct password on the first try? Please express your answer as a decimal rounded to 4 places.

step-by-step explanation:

i found the life tables for the year 2012. 

life table of males at age 30. probability of dying between ages x and x+1

total population:  

29–30 . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.001030

30–31 . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.001061

males:  

29–30 . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.001420

30–31 . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.001448

white population

29–30 . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.001005

30–31 . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.001037

white males

29–30 . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.001372

30–31 . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.001399

non hispanic white population

29–30 . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.001083

30–31 . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.001116

non hispanic white males

29–30 . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.001477

30–31 . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.001503

jacob, non hispanic white male. 30 years old.

probability that jacob lives to be 30 years old. 

since the given probabilities are probabilities of dying, i think we simply subtract it from 1 to get the probability of living. we will use the probability of non hispanic white male.

                                          probability of living to be 30 y.o.

29 - 30 : 1 - 0.001477 = 0.998523

30 - 31 : 1 - 0.001503 = 0.998497