The scatter plot below shows the relationship between two variables, x and y. Which line best fits the data?

There are three bags: a (contains 2 white and 4 red balls), b (8 white, 4 red) and c (1 white 3 red). you select one ball at random from each bag, observe that exactly two are white, but forget which ball came from which bag. what is the probability that you selected a white ball from bag a?