Brian can’t decide which of three shirts he should wear to a party. He could close his eyes and randomly pick a shirt, or he could put the three shirts in a bag and then remove one. Either way, if the selection is not random, Brian may end up making a biased choice. In this activity, you will find the probability of an event using a simulation. Part A
Could you use a spinner to simulate this situation? Describe the design of such a spinner.

Part B
Can you use playing cards to simulate the situation? Explain your answer.

Part C
Can this situation be simulated with a coin flip? Explain your answer.

Part D
What is the probability of picking any one of the three shirts?

Part E
In parts A through C, you identified some simulations that were acceptable for representing this situation. What is the probability of picking any one of the three shirts using those simulations? Do they match the probability of picking any one of the three shirts?