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Mathematics, 28.08.2020 23:01 davelopez979

There are 10,000 mutual fund managers. 22 claim that they are the best, since their fund beat the relevant index every year for 7 years. However, you think that markets are efficient and that the average fund manager is as likely to deliver a better performance than the index as to underperform the index, before fees. Part 1 | Attempt 1/10 for 10 pts. What is the probability that the average single fund managers beats the index 7 years in a row (before fees)? 4+ decimals
Part 2 | Attempt 1/10 for 10 pts. How many fund managers would you expect to beat the index 7 years in a row if only luck and no skill was involved? No decimals

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