An insurance company sells an auto insurance policy that covers losses incurred by a policyholder, subject to a deductible of 100. Losses incurred follow an exponential distribution with a mean of 300.
Calculate the 95th percentile of actual losses that exceed the deductible. Give your answer rounded to the nearest whole number. Hint: You can either do this one ‘directly’ or you can use the ‘memoryless’ property of the exponential distribution.

A) 600 B) 700 C) 800 D) 900 E) 1000

Option E - 1000

Step-by-step explanation:

Let X stand for actual losses incurred.

Given that X follows an exponential distribution with mean 300,

To find the 95-th percentile of all claims that exceed 100.

In other words,

0.95 = Pr (100 < x < p95 ) / P(X > 100)

        = Fx( P95) − Fx(100 ) / 1− Fx (100)

, where Fx is the cumulative distribution function of X

since,  Fx(x) = 1 - e^ (-x/300)

0.95 = 1 - e^ (-P95/300) - [ 1 - e^ ( -100/300) ] / 1 -  [ 1 - e^ ( -100/300) ]

         = e^ ( -1/3 ) - e^ ( - P95//300) / e^(-1/3)

           = 1 - e^1/3 e^ (-P95/300)

The solution is given by , e^ ( - P95/300) = 0.05e^(-1/3)

P95 = -300 ln ( 0.05e^(-1/3) )

       = 999

       = 1000

(2 x^3 + 7 x^2 + 5 x + 2)/(x (x + 2))

step-by-step explanation:

simplify the following:

x/x^2 + 3 x + 2 - (x (x + 1))/(x + 2)

combine powers. x/x^2 = x^(1 - 2):

x^(1 - 2) + 3 x + 2 - (x (x + 1))/(x + 2)

1 - 2 = -1:

x^(-1) + 3 x + 2 - (x (x + 1))/(x + 2)

put each term in 1/x + 3 x + 2 - (x (x + 1))/(x + 2) over the common denominator x (x + 2): 1/x + 3 x + 2 - (x (x + 1))/(x + 2) = (x + 2)/(x (x + 2)) + (3 x^2 (x + 2))/(x (x + 2)) + (2 x (x + 2))/(x (x + 2)) - (x^2 (x + 1))/(x (x + 2)):

(x + 2)/(x (x + 2)) + (3 x^2 (x + 2))/(x (x + 2)) + (2 x (x + 2))/(x (x + 2)) - (x^2 (x + 1))/(x (x + 2))

(x + 2)/(x (x + 2)) + (3 x^2 (x + 2))/(x (x + 2)) + (2 x (x + 2))/(x (x + 2)) - (x^2 (x + 1))/(x (x + 2)) = ((x + 2) + 3 x^2 (x + 2) + 2 x (x + 2) - x^2 (x + 1))/(x (x + 2)):

(2 + x + 3 x^2 (x + 2) + 2 x (x + 2) - x^2 (x + 1))/(x (x + 2))

3 x^2 (x + 2) = 3 x^3 + 6 x^2:

(2 + x + 3 x^3 + 6 x^2 + 2 x (x + 2) - x^2 (x + 1))/(x (x + 2))

2 x (x + 2) = 2 x^2 + 4 x:

(2 + x + 6 x^2 + 3 x^3 + 2 x^2 + 4 x - x^2 (x + 1))/(x (x + 2))

-x^2 (x + 1) = -x^2 - x^3:

(-x^2 - x^3 + 3 x^3 + 6 x^2 + 2 x^2 + 4 x + x + 2)/(x (x + 2))

grouping like terms, 3 x^3 - x^3 + 6 x^2 + 2 x^2 - x^2 + 4 x + x + 2 = (3 x^3 - x^3) + (6 x^2 + 2 x^2 - x^2) + (x + 4 x) + 2:

((3 x^3 - x^3) + (6 x^2 + 2 x^2 - x^2) + (x + 4 x) + 2)/(x (x + 2))

3 x^3 - x^3 = 2 x^3:

(2 x^3 + (6 x^2 + 2 x^2 - x^2) + (x + 4 x) + 2)/(x (x + 2))

6 x^2 + 2 x^2 - x^2 = 7 x^2:

(2 x^3 + 7 x^2 + (x + 4 x) + 2)/(x (x + 2))

x + 4 x = 5 x:

answer:   (2 x^3 + 7 x^2 + 5 x + 2)/(x (x + 2))