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Mathematics, 19.10.2019 01:30 ngilliam1444

Consider the population of voters described in example 3.6. suppose that there are n = 5000 voters in the population, 40% of whom favor jones. identify the event favors jones as a success s. it is evident that the probability of s on trial 1 is .40. consider the event b that s occurs on the second trial. then b can occur two ways: the ļ¬rst two trials are both successes or the ļ¬rst trial is a failure and the second is a success. show that p(b) = .4. what is p(b| the ļ¬rst trial is s)? does this conditional probability differ markedly from p(b)?

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