There are a handful of common mistakes people make when trying to separate skill from chance. Which of the following is not one of those mistakes?
a. Hindsight bias
b. Outcome bias
c. Loss aversion
d. Narrative seeking

While studying for the engineering economy final exam, you and two friends find yourselves craving a fresh pizza. you can't spare the time to pick up the pizza and must have it delivered. "pick-up-sticks" offers a 1-1/4-inch-thick (including toppings), 20-inch square pizza with your choice of two toppings for $15 plus 5% sales tax and a $1.50 delivery charge (no sales tax on delivery charge). "fred's" offers the round, deep-dish sasquatch, which is 20 inches in diameter. it is 1-3/4 inches thick, includes two toppings, and costs $17.25 plus 5% sales tax and free delivery. 1. what is the problem in this situation? state it in an explicit and precise manner. 2. systematically apply the seven principles of engineering economy (pp. 3-6) to the problem you have defined in part (a). 3. assuming that your common unit of measure is dollars (i.e., cost), what is the better value for getting a pizza based on the criterion of minimizing cost per unit of volume? 4. what other criteria might be used to select which pizza to purchase?

Mcdonald's fast-food restaurants have a well-designed training program for all new employees. each new employee is supposed to learn how to perform standardized tasks required to maintain mcdonald's service quality. due to labor shortages in some areas, new employees begin work as soon as they are hired and do not receive any off-the-job training. this nonconformity to standards creates

You are a manager at asda. you have been given the demand data for the past 10 weeks for swim rings for children. you decide to run multiple types of forecasting methods on the data to see which gives you the best forecast. if you were to use exponential smoothing with alpha =.8, what would be your forecast for week 22? (the forecast for week 21 was 1277.) week demand 12 1317 13 1307 14 1261 15 1258 16 1267 17 1256 18 1268 19 1277 20 1277 21 1297