Review each of the investment opportunities provided by Earll Investments and Pima Financial Trading. In at least two to three paragraphs, write an analysis of these opportunities that answers the following questions. What are the true risks of each investment, and do the companies accurately describe these risks? What are the potential returns of each investment, and do the companies accurately describe these returns? Based on the evidence available to you, which investment opportunity is more likely to be fraudulent?

Based on the available evidence, the Earll fund seems much more risky. It seems this fund’s managing company is making inappropriate promises about its fund. It has lost significant amounts of money and has had many ups and downs. Though it has earned money, it has not made consistent earnings, and it does not appear to be a low risk investment. That means it may have a much stronger potential to be fraudulent.

Both investment opportunities claim that they have a low level of risk. However, this only seems plausible for the Pima bond fund, which seems to make gradual returns without experiencing significant losses. On the other hand, the Earll stock fund repeatedly experienced major losses. While the Earll fund claims that it is not "volatile,” it experienced significant losses in 2011, 2012, and 2014. Both investment opportunities have made returns for investors. The Earll fund made strong claims about its returns. The Earll fund did increase to a greater amount, nearly $14,000 by 2014 for the same $10,000 investment in 2010. However, the Earll fund lost enough money in 2011 for that investment to drop to nearly $8,000.

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a manufacturer of printed circuit boards uses exponential smoothing with trend to forecast monthly demand of its product. at the end of december, the company wishes to forecast sales for january. the estimate of trend through november has been 200 additional boards sold per month. average sales have been around 1000 units per month. the demand for december was 1100 units. the company uses α = 0.20 and β = 0.10. make a forecast including trend for the month of january.