When calculating the EMV for an investment using Decision Tree Analysis the probability of each outcome [limb of the tree] is based upon:

Gif the federal reserve did not regulate fiscal policy, monitor banks and provide services for banks, what would most likely be the economic conditions to transact business in the u.s.? the economy would primarily be based on a barter system rather than a fiat system. there would be no discrimination in lending by local banks. the economy would be less efficient and transactions most likely more costly.

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