Jay Seago is suing the manufacturer of his car for $3.5 million because of a defect that he believes caused him to have an accident. The accident kept him out of work for a year. The company has offered him a settlement of $700,000, of which Jay would receive $600,000 after attorneys’ fees. His attorney has advised him that he has a 50% chance of winning his case. If he loses, he will incur attorneys’ fees and court costs of $75,000. If he wins, he is not guaranteed his full requested settlement. His attorney believes that there is a 50% chance he could receive the full settlement, in which case Jay would realize $2 million after his attorney takes her cut, and a 50% chance that the jury will award him a lesser amount of $1 million, of which Jay would get $500,000. Using decision tree analysis, decide whether Jay should proceed with his lawsuit against the manufacturer.

Since the expected value is higher for not suing ($600,000), then Jay should not sue. The expected value of the best case scenario in case of suing is only $500,000 and in the expected value of the worst case scenario is -$37,500.

Explanation:

he decides to not sue = expected value $600,000

he decides to sue:

50% chance of winning

expected value

50% chance of losing

$2.00 for three shots.

whole quiz

1. the sum of all activities involved in getting high-quality products into the marketplace

2.operations

3. the principle of looking at the supply chain as a whole in order to improve the overall flow through the system.

4. produced; performed

5. activities producing tangible products, such as radios, newspapers, buses, and textbooks.

6. activities producing intangible and tangible products, such as entertainment, transportation, and education.

7.   customer focus

8. analyzing a competitor's products to identify desirable improvements

9. the systematic direction and control of the processes that transform resources into finished projects that create value for and provide benefits to consumers.

10. operation management.

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