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Business, 25.02.2020 19:58 Jonah58

Zennith Investment Company is considering the purchase of an office property. It has done an extensive market analysis and has estimated that based on current market supply/demand relationships, rents, and its estimate of operating expenses, annual NOI will be as follows:

Year NOI
1 $1000,000
2 1000,000
3 1000,000
4 1200,000
5 1250,000
6 1300,000
7 1339,000
8 1379,170

A market that is currently oversupplied is expected to result in cash flows remaining flat for the next three years at $1,000,000. During years 4, 5, and 6, market rents are expected to be higher. It is further expected that beginning in year 7 and every year thereafter, NOI will tend to reflect a stable, balanced market and should grow at 3 percent per year indefinitely. Zenith believes that investors should earn a 12 percent return (r) on an investment of this kind.

a. Assuming that the investment is expected to produce NOI in years 1β€”8 and is expected to be owned for seven years and then sold, what would be the value for this property today? (Hint: Begin by estimating the reversion value at the end of year 7. Recall that the expected IRR 12% and the growth rate (g) in year 8 and beyond is estimated to remain level at 3%.)
b. What would the terminal capitalization rate (R T) be at the end of year 7?
c. What would the "going-in" capitalization rate (R) be based on year 1 NOI?
d. What explains the difference between the "going-in" and terminal cap rates?

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